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IPCC CLIMATE MODELS LESS MEANINGFUL THAN ZERO CHANGE FORECASTS

September 3, 2009: "Validity of climate change forecasting for public policy decision making", a paper to be published in International Journal of Forecasting. by ICSC Advisors, Dr. Kesten C. Green of the Business and Economic Forecasting Unit at Monash University, Vic 3800, Australia and Professor J. Scott Armstrong, of The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, U.S.A. and Dr. Willie Soon, Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A.

"Using the IPCC warming rate for our demonstration, we projected the rate successively over a period analogous to that envisaged in their scenario of exponential CO2 growth—the years 1851 to 1975. The errors from the projections were more than seven times greater than the errors from the benchmark method. Relative errors were larger for longer forecast horizons."

Read the whole paper. 

Read today's press release from the New Zealand Climate Science Coalition, "Global warming legislation would fail", that references this paper and includes quotes from the authors.

Visit Armstrong and Green's forecasting site. 

Visit the Science and Public Policy Institute, the organization for which Dr. Soon is Chief Science Adviser.

 
** WV SEN. MACHIN MUST NOT YEILD TO RI SEN. WHITEHOUSE ON COAL **

Click on article above to expand to readable text.


 
AUSTRALIAN JOURNALIST CRITIQUES PRESENTATION BY IPCC CHAIR

November 8, 2008: "Truly inconvenient truths about climate change being ignored", by Michael Duffy, The Sydney Morning Herald, Australia.

"Last month I witnessed something shocking. Rajendra Pachauri, chairman of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, was giving a talk at the University of NSW. The talk was accompanied by a slide presentation, and the most important graph showed average global temperatures. For the past decade it represented temperatures climbing sharply.  As this was shown on the screen, Pachauri told his large audience: "We're at a stage where warming is taking place at a much faster rate [than before]". Now, this is completely wrong."

Read the whole piece.

Watch the whole presentation from Dr. Pachauri.  The temperature graphs discussed are near the beginning of the talk.

Check out actual global temperatures for yourself (source: Web site of Dr. Ole Humlum, Professor of Physical Geography at the Institute of Geosciences, University of Oslo, Norway).

 
CLIMATE SCIENTISTS AGREE - GLOBAL WARMING HAS STOPPED

November 19, 2014: "If 97% of Scientists Say Global Warming is Real, 100% Say It Has Nearly Stopped," by Paul C. “Chip” Knappenberger and Patrick J. Michaels, Center for the Study of Science, Cato Institute, published as a guest essay on Watts Up With That?, The world's most viewed site on global warming and climate change, Chico, California.

"Of the 100 papers we identified, 65 didn’t have anything to do with recent global temperature trends (these typified papers published prior to about 2010). Of the remaining 35 papers, every single one of them acknowledged in some way that a hiatus, pause, or slowdown in global warming was occurring.

"In other words, we didn’t find a single paper on the topic that argued the rate of global warming has not slowed (or even stopped) in recent years. This is in direct opposition to the IPCC’s contention that global warming is accelerating, and supports arguments that the amount of warming that will occur over the remainder of the 21st century as a result of human fossil fuel usage will be at the low end of the IPCC projections, or even lower. Low-end warming yields low-end impacts."

Read whole piece.


 
NEWS RELEASE - CURRENT APPROACH TO CLIMATE CHANGE IS IMMORAL

Attention: News Editors, Political, Science and Environment Reporters

UN MUST REVERSE COURSE ON CLIMATE CHANGE

Focus on stopping global warming and extreme weather is unscientific and immoral 

Ottawa, Canada, November 2, 2014: “IPCC Chairman Dr. Rajendra Pachauri was right to advocate “a global agreement to finally reverse course on climate change” when he spoke to delegates tasked with approving the IPCC Synthesis Report, released on Sunday," said Tom Harris, executive director of the Ottawa, Canada-based International Climate Science Coalition (ICSC). “The new direction governments should follow must be one in which the known needs of people suffering today are given priority over problems that might someday be faced by those yet to be born.”

“Yet, exactly the opposite is happening,” continued Harris. “Of the roughly one billion U.S. dollars spent every day across the world on climate finance, only 6% of it is devoted to helping people adapt to climate change in the present. The rest is wasted trying to stop improbable future climatic events. That is immoral.”

Read whole news release.


 
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