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IPCC CLIMATE MODELS LESS MEANINGFUL THAN ZERO CHANGE FORECASTS

September 3, 2009: "Validity of climate change forecasting for public policy decision making", a paper to be published in International Journal of Forecasting. by ICSC Advisors, Dr. Kesten C. Green of the Business and Economic Forecasting Unit at Monash University, Vic 3800, Australia and Professor J. Scott Armstrong, of The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, U.S.A. and Dr. Willie Soon, Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A.

"Using the IPCC warming rate for our demonstration, we projected the rate successively over a period analogous to that envisaged in their scenario of exponential CO2 growth—the years 1851 to 1975. The errors from the projections were more than seven times greater than the errors from the benchmark method. Relative errors were larger for longer forecast horizons."

Read the whole paper. 

Read today's press release from the New Zealand Climate Science Coalition, "Global warming legislation would fail", that references this paper and includes quotes from the authors.

Visit Armstrong and Green's forecasting site. 

Visit the Science and Public Policy Institute, the organization for which Dr. Soon is Chief Science Adviser.

 
PRESENTATION BY ICSC SCIENCE ADVISORY BOARD MEMBER DR. TIM BALL

January 11, 2015: "Dr. Tim Ball - The Deliberate Corruption of Climate Science," environmental consultant and former climatology professor, University of Winnipeg (founded the Rupertsland Research Centre).  Now residing in Victoria, British Columbia, Canada

Watch Dr. Ball's presentation. Click on box to the lower right of the window to switch to full screen.

Learn about and order Dr. Ball's new book, "The Deliberate Corruption of Climate Science."


 
GOREHAM, THE ANTIDOTE TO GORE, PUBLISHED IN LEADING RI NEWSPAPER

January 1, 2015: "A year of futility in fight against climate change," by Steve Goreham, executive director of the Climate Science Coalition of America and author of the book “The Mad, Mad, Mad World of Climatism: Mankind and Climate Change Mania,” published in The Journal, Providence, Rhode Island. 

"The year 2014 was another year of futility in the fight against climate change. Climatists redoubled efforts to convince citizens that urgent action is needed to stop dangerous global warming. But the gap between public warnings and actual events produced an endless stream of climate irony.

"January began with a frosty bang as an arctic air mass descended on the central United States, following a similar event in December. What was once called a cold snap is now ominously christened a “polar vortex.” Record-low daily temperatures were recorded from Minnesota to Boston, along with all-time seasonal snowfalls in many cities."

Read whole piece. 


 
AUSTRALIAN JOURNALIST CRITIQUES PRESENTATION BY IPCC CHAIR

November 8, 2008: "Truly inconvenient truths about climate change being ignored", by Michael Duffy, The Sydney Morning Herald, Australia.

"Last month I witnessed something shocking. Rajendra Pachauri, chairman of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, was giving a talk at the University of NSW. The talk was accompanied by a slide presentation, and the most important graph showed average global temperatures. For the past decade it represented temperatures climbing sharply.  As this was shown on the screen, Pachauri told his large audience: "We're at a stage where warming is taking place at a much faster rate [than before]". Now, this is completely wrong."

Read the whole piece.

Watch the whole presentation from Dr. Pachauri.  The temperature graphs discussed are near the beginning of the talk.

Check out actual global temperatures for yourself (source: Web site of Dr. Ole Humlum, Professor of Physical Geography at the Institute of Geosciences, University of Oslo, Norway).

 
SENSIBLE PIECE IN THE ASPEN TIMES, COLORADO

January 3, 2015: "Beaton: Fear, loathing and global warming," by Glenn K. Beaton, The Aspen Times, Aspen, Colorado. "The Aspen Times is the oldest and most-trusted print news outlet in Pitkin County, Colorado. The newspaper is a free, 9,000-circulation daily distributed from Aspen to Carbondale."

"Don’t take scientific advice from politicians and celebrities, and don’t take a position because it’s fashionable or because that’s the position dictated by your liberal or conservative tribe. Think for yourself."

Read whole piece.


 
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